Publications
Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)
– Nature
(2024)
636,
560
(doi: 10.1038/d41586-024-04096-5)
How to maintain trustworthiness when doctors act as policy advocates
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2024)
386,
e079929
(doi: 10.1136/bmj-2024-079929)
Modelling hepatitis C infection acquired from blood transfusions in the UK between 1970 and 1991 for the Infected Blood Inquiry
– Royal Society open science
(2024)
11,
231722
(doi: 10.1098/rsos.231722)
The effects of communicating scientific uncertainty on trust and decision making in a public health context
– Judgment and Decision Making
(2023)
17,
849
(doi: 10.1017/s1930297500008962)
Discussion of Presidential Address: Statistics in Times of Increasing Uncertainty by Sylvia Richardson
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2022)
185,
1499
(doi: 10.1111/rssa.12970)
The effects of quality of evidence communication on perception of public health information about COVID-19: Two randomised controlled trials
– PLoS One
(2021)
16,
e0259048
(doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259048)
Expert elicitation on the relative importance of possible SARS-CoV-2 transmission routes and the effectiveness of mitigations
– BMJ open
(2021)
11,
e050869
(doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050869)
Redevelopment of the Predict: Breast Cancer website and recommendations for developing interfaces to support decision-making.
– Cancer Med
(2021)
10,
5141
(doi: 10.1002/cam4.4072)
Factors associated with deaths due to COVID-19 versus other causes: population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform.
– Lancet Regional Health Europe
(2021)
6,
100109
(doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100109)
How well did experts and laypeople forecast the size of the COVID-19 pandemic?
– PLoS One
(2021)
16,
e0250935
(doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250935)
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