Professor David Spiegelhalter | Statistical Laboratory

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Publications

Five rules for evidence communication

M Blastland, ALJ Freeman, S van der Linden, TM Marteau, D Spiegelhalter

– Nature

(2020)

587,

362

(DOI: 10.1002/gch2.201600008)

Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from coronavirus 19 in adults: national derivation and validation cohort study.

AK Clift, CAC Coupland, RH Keogh, K Diaz-Ordaz, E Williamson, EM Harrison, A Hayward, H Hemingway, P Horby, N Mehta, J Benger, K Khunti, D Spiegelhalter, A Sheikh, J Valabhji, RA Lyons, J Robson, MG Semple, F Kee, P Johnson, S Jebb, T Williams, J Hippisley-Cox

– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)

(2020)

371,

m3731

(DOI: 10.1136/bmj.m3731)

Communicating personalised risks from COVID-19: guidelines from an empirical study

A Freeman, J Kerr, G Recchia, C Schneider, ACE Lawrence, L Finikarides, G Luoni, S Dryhurst, D Spiegelhalter

(2020)

(DOI: 10.1101/2020.10.05.20206961)

Use of "normal" risk to improve understanding of dangers of covid-19.

D Spiegelhalter

– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)

(2020)

370,

m3259

(DOI: 10.1136/bmj.m3259)

No more damned lies ...

D Spiegelhalter

– NEW SCIENTIST

(2020)

245,

48

Shielding from covid-19 should be stratified by risk.

GD Smith, D Spiegelhalter

– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)

(2020)

369,

m2063

(DOI: 10.1136/bmj.m2063)

The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers.

AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, DJ Spiegelhalter

– Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

(2020)

117,

7672

(DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1913678117)

Should We Trust Algorithms?

D Spiegelhalter

– Harvard Data Science Review

(2020)

(DOI: 10.1162/99608f92.cb91a35a)

Risk perceptions of COVID-19 around the world

S Dryhurst, CR Schneider, J Kerr, ALJ Freeman, G Recchia, AM van der Bles, D Spiegelhalter, S van der Linden

– Journal of Risk Research

(2020)

23,

994

(DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2020.1758193)

Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of breast cancer: How much should women worry about it?

M Climént-Palmer, D Spiegelhalter

– Post Reprod Health

(2019)

25,

175

(DOI: 10.1177/2053369119898586)

Frontpage talks

22

Jan

16:00 - 17:00: Title to be confirmed

Statistics

Pragya Sur (Harvard University)

27

Jan

16:30 - 18:00: Statistics Clinic Lent 2021 - Skype session I

Cambridge Statistics Clinic

Statistics Clinic team

10

Feb

16:30 - 18:00: Statistics Clinic Lent 2021 - Skype session II

Cambridge Statistics Clinic

Statistics Clinic team

19

Feb

16:00 - 17:00: Title to be confirmed

Statistics

Tom Berrett, University of Warwick

24

Feb

16:30 - 18:00: Statistics Clinic Lent 2021 - Skype session III

Cambridge Statistics Clinic

Statistics Clinic team