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Currently displaying 1 - 20 of 1978 publications

Parity questions in critical planar Brownian loop-soups (or “where did the free planar bosons go?”)

M Lehmkuehler, W Qian, W Werner

– Probability theory and related fields

(2025)

(doi: 10.1007/s00440-025-01418-0)

The Bayesian Context Trees State Space Model for time series modelling and forecasting

I Papageorgiou, I Kontoyiannis

(2025)

(doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2308.00913)

The Bayesian context trees state space model for time series modelling and forecasting

I Papageorgiou, I Kontoyiannis

– International Journal of Forecasting

(2025)

(doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.07.009)

Non-self-touching paths in plane graphs

GR Grimmett

– Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré D Combinatorics Physics and their Interactions

(2025)

(doi: 10.4171/aihpd/214)

Causal mediation analysis for time-varying heritable risk factors with Mendelian randomization

Z Wu, E Lewis, Q Zhao, J Wang

– Nature Communications

(2025)

16,

6945

(doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-61648-7)

Relative entropy bounds for sampling with and without replacement

O Johnson, L Gavalakis, I Kontoyiannis

– Journal of Applied Probability

(2025)

(doi: 10.1017/jpr.2025.27)

Estimating Maximal Symmetries of Regression Functions via Subgroup Lattices

LG Christie, JAD Aston

– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B Statistical Methodology

(2025)

qkaf031

(doi: 10.1093/jrsssb/qkaf031)

Cyclical evolution of centromere architecture across 193 eukaryote species

I Henderson, P Włodzimierz, E Perez-Roman, M Hong, M Zhang, L Oliveira, J Gonzalez-Isa, K Jenike, R Burns, C Zhou, S Koppera, M Becker, N Gorringe, P Novak, Y Mata-Sucre, I Kontoyiannis, M Blaxter, A Marques, J Macas, A Bousios, R Durbin

(2025)

(doi: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7008504/v1)

Characterising the Standardisation Properties of Type Ia Supernovae in the z band with Hierarchical Bayesian Modelling

EE Hayes, S Dhawan, KS Mandel, DO Jones, RJ Foley, S Thorp, M Grayling, SM Ward, A Do, D Langeroodi, N Earl, KM de Soto, G Narayan, K Auchettl, T de Boer, KC Chambers, DA Coulter, C Gall, H Gao, L Izzo, C-C Lin, EA Magnier, A Rest, Q Wang

– Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society

(2025)

541,

1948

(doi: 10.1093/mnras/staf1056)

Deep learning with missing data

T Ma, T Wang, RJ Samworth

(2025)

(link to publication)

DAmodel: hierarchical Bayesian modelling of DA white dwarfs for spectrophotometric calibration

BM Boyd, G Narayan, KS Mandel, M Grayling, A Saha, T Axelrod, T Matheson, EW Olszewski, A Calamida, A Do, RC Bohlin, JB Holberg, I Hubeny, S Deustua, A Rest, CW Stubbs, A Berres, M Li, JW Mackenty, E Sabbi

– Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society

(2025)

540,

385

(doi: 10.1093/mnras/staf629)

A Latent Causal Inference Framework for Ordinal Variables

M Scauda, J Kuipers, G Moffa

(2025)

(link to publication)

Dominic Welsh, 1938–2023

GR Grimmett

– Bulletin of the London Mathematical Society

(2025)

57,

992

(doi: 10.1112/blms.13224)

Cross-validation for change-point regression: pitfalls and solutions

F Pein, RD Shah

– Bernoulli

(2025)

31,

388

(doi: 10.3150/24-bej1732)

Lossless data compression at pragmatic rates

A Theocharous, I Kontoyiannis

(2025)

(link to publication)

Evidence Communication Rules for Policy (ECR-P) critical appraisal tool.

E Danopoulos, JAD Aston, A Shah, CR Schneider

– Systematic Reviews

(2025)

14,

(doi: 10.1186/s13643-025-02757-8)

Testing conditional independence under isotonicity

R Hore, JA Soloff, RF Barber, RJ Samworth

(2025)

(link to publication)

On statistical and causal models associated with acyclic directed mixed graphs

Q Zhao

(2025)

(link to publication)

AI for Net Zero: Energy and Transport. White Paper

J Aston, E Broadway, S Laizet, L Magri, A Mole, A Nóvoa, G Rigas, G Tretola, K Vogiatzaki, M Weiland, M Weissenbacher, L Benson, E Danopoulos, I Fumarola, X Jiang, A Plaksin, D Ozan, E Essmann, M Klaisoongnoen

(2025)

(doi: 10.17863/CAM.121198)

Why probability probably doesn't exist (but it is useful to act like it does)

D Spiegelhalter

– Nature

(2024)

636,

560

(doi: 10.1038/d41586-024-04096-5)