Research Reports (1981-2008)
by
1981-1994 1994 1995
1996 1997 1998
1999 2000 2001
2002 2003 2004
2005 2006 2007
2008
To request copies of any of these reports, where not available
online, please contact:
Marion Ware,
Department of Statistical Science,
University College London,
Gower Street,
London WC1E 6BT, UK
2008
2007
2006
269
Counterfactuals, hypotheticals and potential responses: A philosophical
examination of statistical causality.
268
The geometry of proper scoring rules.
265
Direct and indirect effects of sequential treatments (with Vanessa
Didelez
and Sara Geneletti).
264
Probability and evidence (with Julia Mortera).
2005
262
Identifying the consequences of dynamic treatment strategies (with
Vanessa Didelez).
261
The geometry of decision theory (with Steffen Lauritzen).
256
Object-oriented Bayesian networks for complex forensic DNA profiling
problems
(with Julia Mortera and Paola Vicard).
2004
250
Statistics on trial.
249
Estimation of mutation rates from paternity cases using a Bayesian
network (with
Paola Vicard, Julia Mortera and Steffen Lauritzen).
244
Statistics and the law.
243
Probability and statistics in the law.
2003
238
Paradox, simple inconsistency, or serious pathology? Comment on
"Conditioning
as disintegration" by Chang & Pollard (with Mervyn Stone and
James
Zidek).
237
Which likelihood ratio? (Comment on "Why the effect of prior odds
should
accompany the likelihood ratio when reporting DNA evidence" by Ronald
Meester
and Marjan Sjerps).
234
A statistical treatment of biases affecting the estimation of mutation
rates (with Paola Vicard).
2002
228
Probability, causality and the empirical world: A Bayes-de
Finetti-Popper-Borel synthesis.
226
An object-oriented Bayesian network for estimating mutation rates.
225
Probabilistic expert systems for DNA mixture profiling (with Julia
Mortera and Steffen
Lauritzen).
223
Game theory, maximum entropy, minimum discrepancy, and robust Bayesian
decision theory (with Peter Grunwald).
2001
221
Influence diagrams for causal modelling and inference.
220
Non-fatherhood or mutation? A probabilistic approach to parental
exclusion
in paternity testing (with Julia Mortera and Vincenzo Pascali).
219
Bayes's theorem and weighing evidence by juries.
2000
218
Consistency in misspecified models (with Kostas Skouras).
215
Probabilistic expert systems for forensic inference from genetic markers
(with Julia Mortera, Vincenzo Pascali and Daniel van Boxel).
213
Causal
inference using influence diagrams: The problem of partial compliance.
212
Separoids: A general framework for conditional independence and
irrelevance.
211
Comment on Stockmarr's "Likelihood ratios for evaluating DNA evidence,
when the suspect is found through a database search".
210
Compatible prior distributions (with Steffen Lauritzen).
209
Some variations on variation independence.
1999
202
The trouble with Bayes factors.
1998
199
Conditional products: An alternative approach to conditional
independence
(with Milan Studeny).
192
Hierarchical models for DNA profiling using heterogeneous databases
(with John Pueschel).
1997
189
Modelling issues in forensic inference.
188
Causal inference without counterfactuals.
181
Forensic identification with imperfect evidence (with Julia
Mortera).
1996
175
Nonconjugate Bayesian regression on many variables (with Fang BiQi).
172
Critique of E.T.Jaynes's "Paradoxes of Probability Theory" (with
Mervyn
Stone and James Zidek).
171
Prequential probability: Principles and properties (with Vladimir
Vovk).
170
Using a graphical method to take account of dependencies when
evaluating
complicated patterns of evidence (with Ian Evett).
167
Coherent criteria for optimal experimental design (with Paola
Sebastiani).
160
On efficient point prediction systems (with Kostas Skouras).
159
On efficient probability forecasting systems (with Kostas Skouras).
157
Conditional Independence.
1995
151
Comparison of full Bayes and Bayes-least squares criteria for normal
discrimination
(with Fang BiQi).
144
Comments on "The roles of conditioning in inference" by N. Reid
(with
Costas Goutis).
141
Prequential analysis.
1994
139
Proper measures of discrepancy uncertainty and dependence with
applications
to predictive experimental design.
136
Elementary Watson! Coherent analysis of forensic evidence
(with
Julia Mortera).
135A
comparison of sequential learning methods for incomplete data (with
Robert Cowell and Paola Sebastiani).
Last updated: 26 May 2008