Blocking probabilities in large circuit-switched networks

F. P. Kelly

Advances in Applied Probability 18 (1986), 473-505.

Abstract

This paper is concerned with blocking and loss probabilities in circuit-switched networks. We show that when the capacity of links and the offered traffic are increased together, a limiting regime emerges in which loss probabilities are as if links block independently, with blocking probabilities given by the solution of a simple convex programming problem. We then show that an approximate procedure, based on solving Erlang's formula under the assumption of independent blocking, produces a unique solution when routes are fixed, and that under the limiting regime the estimates of loss probabilities obtained from the procedure converge to the correct value.

Keywords: loss probabilities; network flow; local limit theorems; Erlang's formula; fixed routing; dynamic routing; cellular radio.

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