Michael Dempster's Publications

1980

Equivalence of linear complementarity problems and linear programs in vector lattice Hilbert spaces. SIAM J. Control and Optimization 18.1, 76-90 (with C W Cryer).

Stochastic Programming. London: Academic, 573 pp. (Editor).

Introduction to stochastic programming. In: Stochastic Programming, op. cit., 3-62.

Computational experience with an approximate method for the distribution problem. In: Stochastic Programming, op. cit., 223-244 (with A Papagaki Papoulias).

Study on the stability and control of large angle satellite manoeuvres: Executive summary. Oxford: Oxford Systems Associates Limited, TR8002, 47 pp.

Analysis and Optimization of Stochastic Systems. Proceedings of the IMA International Conference, Oxford, September, 1978. London: Academic (1980), 573 pp. (Co editor with M H A Davis, C J Harris, O L R Jacobs and P C Parks.)

Summary of the "Issues for the Future in DSS" Integrating Session. In: Decision Support Systems: Issues and Challenges. G Fick and R H Sprague Jr. (eds.) IIASA Proceedings Series No 11. Oxford: Pergamon (1980), 175-180.

Nested optimization in DOA estimation for nonlinear dynamical systems: Spacecraft large angle manoeuvres. Working Paper 80-179, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, December (1980).

1981

Large scale Linear Programming. Volumes I and II. IIASA Collaborative Paper Conference Proceedings Series No 1. Laxenburg: IIASA, 1133 pp. (Co editor with G B Dantzig and M Kallio.)

Analytical evaluation of hierarchical planning systems. Operations Res. 29.4 (1981), 707-717 (with M L Fisher, L Jansen, B J Lageweg, J K Lenstra and A H G Rinnooy Kan).

1982

Deterministic and Stochastic Scheduling. NATO Advanced Study Institute Proceedings Series. Dordrecht: Reidel (1982), 419 pp. (Co editor with J K Lenstra and A H G Rinnooy Kan.)

A stochastic approach to hierarchical planning and scheduling. In: Deterministic and Stochastic Scheduling, op. cit., 271-296.

The expected value of perfect information in the optimal evolution of stochastic systems. In: M Arato, D Vermes and A V Balakrishnan (eds.) Stochastic Differential Systems. Lecture Notes in Control and Information Sciences No. 36. Berlin: Springer Verlag, 25-40.

Modelling the US Federal spending process: Overview and implications. In: R C O Matthews and G B Stafford (eds.) The Grants Economy and the Financing of Collective Consumption. International Economic Association Proceedings Series. London: Macmillan (1982), 267-309 (with discussion). (With A Wildavsky.)

Investigation of the stability of satellite large angle attitude manoeuvres using nonlinear optimization methods. Proceedings of the IFAC/ESA Symposium on Automatic Control in Space, Noordwijkerhout, July, 1982. Paris: International Federation for Automatic Control, 87-100 (with G M Coupé).

1983

Proceedings of the IIASA Task Force Meeting on Stochastic Optimization. Stochastics Special Issue, 10.3-4 (1983), 147-314. (Guest editor.)

Analysis of heuristics for stochastic programming: Results for hierarchical scheduling problems. Maths. of Operations Res. 8.4 (1983), 525-537 (with M L Fisher, L Jansen, B J Lageweg, J K Lenstra and A H G Rinnooy Kan).

1984

Selfish DNA's with self restraint. Nature 307 (1984), 501-502 (with W F Doolittle and T B L Kirkwood).

Invited comment on "Piecewise deterministic Markov processes: A general class of non diffusion stochastic models'' by M H A Davis. J. Royal Stat. Soc. B46.3 (1984), 382-383.

1986

Computing aids for management education. In: The Impact of Microcomputers on Operations Research. S I Gass, H J Greenberg, C L Hoffman and R W Langley (eds.) New York: North Holland, 55 64.

Trade training school scheduling at the Canadian Forces Fleet School, Halifax. Technical Report, School of Business Administration, Dalhousie University.

1987

A new approach to optimal capacity expansion under uncertainty. Adv. Appl. Prob. 19, 156-176 (with M H A Davis, S P Sethi and D Vermes).

Edited translation (from the Russian) of: V I Arkin and I V Evstigneev. Stochastic Models of Control and Economic Dynamics. Moscow: Nauka (1979). Academic: London and New York (1987), 208 pp. (with E A Medova Dempster).

Stochastic scheduling via stochastic control. Proceedings of the First World Congress of the Bernoulli Society, Tashkent, USSR, September 1986. K Krickeberg and A Shiryaev, (eds.) Utrecht: VNU Science Press, 783-788 (with E Solel).

Evaluating the effectiveness of the Courseware Development Project: Pilot studies. Proceedings of the Eighth Annual International Conference on Information Systems, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 6-9 December 1987. J I DeGross and C H Kriebel (eds.) Minneapolis: ICIS, 383-398 (with J F Duffy, A C Peacock and D P Sheridan).

A standard input format for multiperiod stochastic linear programs. Mathematical Programming Society Committee on Algorithms Newsletter 17 (1987), 1-19 (with J R Birge, H I Gassmann, E A Gunn, A J King and S Wallace).

1988

MIDAS: An expert debt management advisory system. Data, Expert Knowledge and Decisions. W Gaul and M Schäder (eds.) Berlin: Springer (1988), 116-127 (with A M Ireland).

On stochastic programming: II. Dynamic problems under risk. Stochastics 25 (1988), 15-42.

A financial expert decision support system. Mathematical Models for Decision Support. G Mitra (ed.) NATO ASI Series F 48. Berlin: Springer (1988), 415-440 (with A M Ireland).

Representation of uncertainty and imprecision in decision support systems. Report of a panel discussion held at the NATO Advanced Study Institute, Val d'Isere, France, 26 July to 6 August 1987. Mathematical Models for Decision Support. G Mitra (ed.) NATO ASI Series F 48. Berlin: Springer (1988), 631-640.

CATTSS system data requirements and functionality. Technical Report, School of Business Administration, Dalhousie University.

1989

Object oriented model integration in MIDAS. Proceedings of the Twenty second Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, January 3-6, 1989. Vol. III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems, IEEE Computer Society Press (1989), 612-620 (with A M Ireland).

The linear order complementarity problem. Maths. of Operations Res. 14 (1989), 534-558 (with J M Borwein).

1990

Edited translation (from the Russian) of: E L Presman and I M Sonin. Sequential Control with Incomplete Information: The Bayesian Approach to Multi armed Bandit Problems. Moscow: Nauka (1982). Economic Theory Series, K Shell (ed.) London and New York: Academic (1990), 266 pp. (with E A Medova Dempster.)

A maximum principle for control of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. Approximation, Optimization and Computing: Theory and Applications. A G Law and C L Wang (eds.) North Holland, Amsterdam (1990), 235-240 (with J J Ye).

Proposal for an Environmentally Sensitive Investment System (ESIS) for waste water management in the pulp and paper industry. Working Paper 90-3, School of Business Administration, Dalhousie University, July (1990). (With M. Fels, S. Roberts and P. Stokoe).

1991

Optimal control of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. Applied Stochastic Analysis. M H A Davis and R J Elliott (eds.) London: Gordon and Breach (1991), 303-325.

On the value of information in controlled diffusions. Stochastic Analysis. E Mayer Wolf, E Merzbach and A Schwartz (eds.) San Diego and London: Academic (1991), 125-138 (with M H A Davis and R J Elliott).

Stochastic programming: Using the expected value of perfect information to simplify the decision tree. Proceedings 15th IFIP Conference on System Modelling and Optimization. Zurich: IFIP (1991), 301 303 (with H I Gassmann).

Object oriented model integration in a financial decision support system. Decision Support Systems 7 (1991), 329 340 (with A M Ireland).

1992

Necessary and sufficient optimality conditions for control of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. Stochastics and Stochastics Reports 40 (1992), 125 145 (with J J Ye).

1993

Measuring rates of convergence of numerical algorithms. J. Optimization Theory and Applications 78 (1993), 109 125 (with J Barzilai).

1994

Hierarchical approximation of telecommunications networks. BT Technology Journal 12 (1994), 40 49.

Valuation of complex interest based derivatives. Final report to Midland Global Markets. Research Report 94 15, Department of Mathematics, University of Essex, June (1994).

Integrated system modelling for ATM: Interim report. Research Report 94 22, Department of Mathematics, University of Essex, October (1994). (With I A Aristidopoulou and E A Medova).

1995

Optimal match up strategies in stochastic scheduling. Discrete Applied Mathematics 57 (1995), 105 120 (with J R Birge).

A practical geometrically convergent cutting plane algorithm. SIAM J. Numerical Anal. 32 (1995), 631 644 (with R R Merkovsky).

Impulse control of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. Annals of Applied Probability 5 (1995), 399 423 (with J J Ye).

Integrated system modelling for ATM: Final report. Research Report 95 1, Department of Mathematics, University of Essex, January (1995). (With E A Medova and S Moise.)

Design and control of multilayer networks: Final report. Research Report 95 6, Department of Mathematics, University of Essex, April (1995). (With E A Medova and S Moise.)

Valuation of complex interest rate based derivatives. Final report to HSBC Markets, April (1995).

1996

Hierarchical modelling. Modelling Future Telecommunications Systems. P Cochrane and D J T Heatley (eds.) London: Chapman & Hall (1996), 84 102.

Generalized Bellman Hamilton Jacobi optimality conditions for a control problem with a boundary condition. Applied Mathematics and Optimization 33 (1996), 211 255 (with J J Ye).

Design and control of ATM/SDH networks. Proc. 4th International Conference on Telecommunication Systems: Modelling and Analysis. Owen Graduate School of Management, Vanderbilt University, March (1996), 259 269 (with E A Medova, H Azmoodeh, P B Key and S K Sargood).

Integrated system modelling for ATM: Final report 1995 96. Final report to BT Laboratories, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge, April (1996). (With E A Medova and R T Thompson.)

Turnpike theorems for stochastic equilibria on graphs. Operations Research Proceedings 1995. P Kleinschmidt (ed.) Berlin: Springer Verlag (1996), 241 245 (with I V Evstigneev and S .A Pirigov).

Strategic asset allocation. Final report to the Frank Russell Company, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge, December (1996). (With G Consigli, N Hicks Pedrón, J P Hutton, C M Jones and R T Thompson.).

Stochastic programming approaches to stochastic scheduling. Global Optimization 9 (1996), 383 409 (with J R Birge)

1997

The role of high performance computing in financial services. Final report to Fujitsu European Centre for Information Technology, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge, February (1997).

Fast numerical valuation of American exotic and complex options. Applied Mathematical Finance 4 (1997), 1 20 (with J P Hutton).

Solving dynamic portfolio problems using stochastic programming. Zeitschrift für Angewandte Mathematik und Mechanik 775 (1997), 565-566 (with G Consigli).

A stochastic programming approach to network planning. Teletraffic Contributions for the Information Age, Proceedings of the 15th International Teletraffic Congress. V Ramaswami and P E Wirth (eds.) Amsterdam: North Holland (1997), 329-339 (with E A Medova and R T Thompson).

Mathematics of Derivative Securities. Cambridge: University Press, 582pp. (Co-editor with S R Pliska).

Numerical valuation of cross-currency swaps and swaptions. In: Mathematics of Derivative Securities, op. cit., 473-503 (with J P Hutton).

Preliminary design study for a strategic financial portfolio management system. Final report to Fujitsu European Centre for Information Technology, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge, September (1997).

1998

Dynamic stochastic programming for asset liability management. Annals of Operations Research 81 (1998), 131-161 (with G Consigli).

Parallelization and aggregation of nested Benders decomposition. Annals of Operations Research 81 (1998), 163-187 (with R T Thompson).

Towards sequential sampling algorithms for dynamic portfolio management. Operational Tools in the Management of Financial Risks C Zopounides (ed.) Dordrecht: Kluwer (1998) 197-211 (with Z Chen, G Consigli and N Hicks Pedrón).

Balanced states in stochastic economies with locally interacting agents. Stochastics and Stochastics Reports 64 (1998), 235-253 (with I V Evstigneev and S A Pirigov).

Stochastic simulation of international economic variables and asset returns: The Falcon Asset Model. Proceedings of the 8th International AFIR Colloquium. London: Institute of Actuaries (1998) 29-45 (with A E Thorlacius).

LP valuation of exotic American options exploiting structure. Computational Finance 2 (1998) 61-84 (with J P Hutton and D G Richards).

The CALM stochastic programming model for dynamic asset liability management. World Wide Asset and Liability Modelling. J M Mulvey and W T Ziemba (eds.) Cambridge: Cambridge University Press (1998) 464-500 (with G Consigli).

On the martingale problem for jumping diffusions. Working Paper 29/98, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge (1998) (with G Gotsis).

Sequential importance sampling algorithms for dynamic stochastic programming. Working Paper 32/98, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge (1998).

Planning logistics operations in the oil industry: 1 Deterministic modelling. Working Paper 33/98, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge (with N Hicks Pedrón, E A Medova, J E Scott and A Sembos). Published (with Part 2) in Journal of the Operational Research Society 51(11) (2000) 1271-1288.

1999

Planning logistics operations in the oil industry: 2 Stochastic modelling. Working Paper 4/99, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge (with N Hicks Pedrón, E A Medova, J E Scott and A Sembos). Published (with Part 1) in Journal of the Operational Research Society 51(11) (2000) 1271-1288.

Can technical pattern trading be profitably automated: 1 The channel. Working Paper 11/99, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge (with C M Jones). Published in European Journal of Finance 8(3) (2002) 275-301.

Can technical pattern trading be profitably automated: 2 The head and shoulders. Working Paper 12/99, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge (with C M Jones).

Pricing exotic American options fitting the volatility smile. Working Paper 17/99, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge (with D G Richards). Published in Mathematical Finance 10(2) (April 2000) 157-177.

Implementation of a model of the stochastic behaviour of commodity prices. Final report to Rio Tinto, Centre for Financial Research, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge, October (1999) (with C M Jones, S Q Khokhar and S-S G Hong).

Pricing American stock options by linear programming. Mathematical Finance 9 (1999) 229-254 (with J P Hutton).

EVPI-based importance sampling solution procedures for multistage stochastic linear programmes on parallel MIMD architectures. Annals of Operations Research 90 (1999) 161-184 (with R T Thompson).

2000

Operational risk measurement and economic loss capital provision. Final report to PricewaterhouseCoopers, Centre for Financial Research, Judge Institute of Management Studies, University of Cambridge, February (2000) (with M N Kyriacou, E A Medova and Y S Romahi).

Pricing exotic American options fitting the smile. Mathematical Finance 10 (2000) 157-177 (with D G Richards).

Planning logistics operations in the oil industry. Journal of the Operational Research Society 51.11 (2000) 1271-1288 (with N Hicks Pedr?n, E A Medova, J E Scott and A Sembos).

Wavelet methods in PDE valuation of financial derivatives. In K S Leung, L-W Chan and H Meng (eds.) Data Mining, Financial Engineering, and Intelligent Agents: Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning - IDEAL 2000 International Conference, Hong Kong, China, 13-15 December 2000, 215-238 (with A Eswaran and D G Richards).

2001

A real-time adaptive trading system using genetic programming. Quantitative Finance 1.4 (2001) 397-413 (with C M Jones).

Computational learning techniques for intraday FX trading using popular technical indicators. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks 12 (2001) 744-754 (with T Payne, Y Romahi and G W P Thompson).

Wavelet based PDE valuation of derivatives. Proceedings of the Third European Congress of Mathematics. Rodriguez et al (eds.) Progress in Mathematics Series. Basel: Birkhauser (2001) 347-365 (with A Eswaran).

2002

Risk Management: Value at Risk and Beyond. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press (2002), 292 pp.

Can channel pattern trading be profitably automated? European Journal of Finance 8 (2002) 275-301 with (C M Jones).

Introduction. In: Dempster (2002), op cit, pp ix-xiv.

Dynamic portfolio replication using stochastic programming. In: Dempster (2002) op cit, 100-128 (with G W P Thompson).

Spread option valuation and the Fast Fourier transform. In: Proceedings of the 1st World Congress of the Bachelier Finance Society. H Géman, D Madan and S R Pliska (eds.) Berlin: Springer (2002) 203-220 (with S S G Hong).

Intraday FX trading: an evolutionary reinforcement learning approach. In H Yin et al (eds.) Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning. Proceedings of the IDEAL 2002 International Conference (3rd), 12-14 August 2002, Manchester, England. Berlin: Springer Verlag (2002) 347-358 (with Y Romahi).

2003

Global asset liability management. British Actuarial Journal 9 (2003) 137-216 (with M Germano, E A Medova and M Villaverde).

Exponential growth of fixed-mix strategies in stationary asset markets. Finance and Stochastics 7 263-276 (with I V Evstigneev and K R Schenk-Hoppe).

Evolutionary reinforcement learning in FX order book and order flow analysis. In IEEE Neural Networks Council Staff (eds.) Proceedings of the International Conference on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering (CIFEr), 21-23 March 2003, Hong Kong. Piscataway N J: IEEE Standards Office (2003) 355-362 (with R G Bates and Y S Romahi).

Portfolio management for pension funds. Proceedings of the IDEAL 2003 International Conference (4th), 21-23 March, Hong Kong. Berlin: Springer Verlag (2003) 462-466 (with S Arbeleche, E A Medova, G W P Thompson and M Villaverde).

Econometric modelling for global asset liability management. Working Paper 13/03, Judge Institute of Management, University of Cambridge (2003) (with S Arbeleche).

2004

Structured products for pension funds. In K Marti, Y Ermoliev and G Pflug (eds.) Dynamic Stochastic Optimization. Berlin: Springer Verlag, (2004) 115-130 (with M Germano, E A Medova and M Villaverde).

Adaptive systems for foreign exchange trading. Quantitative Finance 4.4 (2004), c 37-45 (with M P Austin, R G Bates, V Leemans and S N Williams).

Adaptive systems for foreign exchange trading. Eclectic 18 Autumn (2004) 21-26 (with M P Austin, R G Bates, V Leemans and S N Williams).

Volatility-induced financial growth. Working Paper 10/04, Judge Institute of Management, University of Cambridge (2004) (with I V Estigneev and K R Schenk-Hoppé).

Sequential importance sampling for dynamic stochastic programming. Transactions of the St Petersburg Steklov Mathematical Institute 312 (2004) 94-129.

Designing minimum guaranteed funds. Working Paper 17/04, Judge Institute of Management, University of Cambridge (2004) (with M Germano, E A Medova, M I Rietbergen, F Sandrini and M Scrowston).

2005

Stochastic modeling and optimization using STOCHASTICS. Applications of Stochastic Programming. S W Wallace and W T Ziemba (eds.) MPS-SIAM Series in Optimization (2005) 131-150 (with J E Scott and G W P Thompson).

2006

Managing guarantees. Journal of Portfolio Management 32.2 (2006) 51-61 (with M Germano, E A Medova, M I Rietbergen, F Sandrini and M Scrowston).

An automated FX trading system using adaptive reinforcement learning. Special Issue on Financial Engineering, Expert Systems with Applications 30 (2006) 543-552 (with V Leemans).

Sequential importance sampling algorithms for dynamic stochastic programming. Journal of Mathematical Sciences 133.4 (2006) 1422-1444.

Asset pricing and hedging in financial markets with transaction costs: An approach based on the von Neumann-Gale model. Annals of Finance 2.2 (2006) 327-355 (with I V Evstigneev and M I Taksar).

2007

Volatility-induced financial growth. Quantitative Finance 7.2 (2007) 151-160 (with I V Evstigneev and K R Schenk-Hoppé).

Designing minimum guarantee funds. Quantitative Finance 7.2 (2007) 245-256 (with M Germano, E A Medova, M I Rietbergen, F Sandrini and M Scrowston).

Empirical copulas for CDO tranche pricing using relative entropy. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 10.4 (2007) 679-702 (with E A Medova and S W Yang).

D C pension fund benchmarking with fixed-mix portfolio optimization. Quantitative Finance 7.4 (2007) 365-370 (with M Germano, E A Medova, M I Rietbergen, F Sandrini, M Scrowston and N Zhang).

2008

Financial markets: The joy of volatility. Quantitative Finance 8.1 (2008) 1-3 (with I V Evstigneev and K R Schenk-Hoppé).

Long term spread option valuation and hedging. Journal of Banking and Finance 33.2 (2008) 2530-2540 (with E A Medova and K Tang).

Determinants of oil futures prices and convenience yields. Submitted to Management Science (with E A Medova and K Tang).

2009

Quantitative Fund Management. London: CRC Chapman and Hall, 467pp. (Co-editor with G. Mitra and G Pflug).

Risk-profiling defined benefit pension schemes. Journal of Portfolio Management, Summer 2009 (with M. Germano, E.A. Medova, J.K. Murphy, D. Ryan and F. Sandrini).

2010

Long-term interest rates and consol bond valuation. Journal of Asset Management 11.2-3 (2010) 113-135 (with E A Medova and M Villaverde).

2011

Benoit B Mandelbrot (1924-2010): A father of Quantitative Finance. Quantitative Finance 11.2 (2011) 155-156.

Growing wealth with fixed mix strategies. In: The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion, L C MacLean, E O Thorpe and W T Ziemba,eds. Singapore: World Scientific (2011) 427-458 (with I V Evstigneev and K R Schenk-Hoppé).

Estimating exponential affine models with correlated measurement errors: Applications to fixed income and commodities. Journal of Banking and Finance 35.3 (2011) 639-652 (with K Tang).

Planning for retirement: Asset liability management for individuals. In: Asset Liability Management Handbook, G Mitra and K Schwaiger, eds. London: Palgrave Macmillan (2011) 409-432 (with E A Medova).

Regulating complex derivatives: Can the opaque be made transparent? Journal of Banking Regulation 12.4 (2011) 308-330 (with E A Medova and J F Roberts).

Wavelet optimized valuation of financial derivatives. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 14.7 (2011) 1113-1137 (with B Carton de Wiart).

Asset liability management for individual households. British Actuarial Journal 16.2 (2011), with discussion, 405-464 (with E A Medova).

Stochastic Optimization Methods in Finance and Energy: New Financial Products and Energy market Strategies. New York: Springer (2011), 474pp. (Co-editor with M Bertocchi and G Consigli).

Comparison of sampling methods for dynamic stochastic programming. Chapter 16 in Stochastic Optimization Methods in Finance and Energy, op. cit., 389-425 (with E A Medova and Y S Yong).

2012

Economic and monetary union: The reset option. Essay submitted to the Wolfson Economics Prize Competition, January 2012 (with J S Chadha and D Pickford).

Review of Emmanuel Derman's Models Behaving Badly: Why Confusing Illusion with Reality Can Lead to Disaster, on Wall Street and in Life. Quantitative Finance 12.4 (2012) 511-513.

The Euro in Danger: Reform and Reset. Cambridge, UK: Searching Finance (2012) 88pp. (with J S Chadha and D E Pickford).

Determinants of oil futures prices and convenience yields. Quantitative Finance 12.12 (2012) 1795-1809 (with E A Medova and K Tang).

Commodity Special Issue. Quantitative Finance 12.12 (2012) 192pp. (Co-editor with K Tang).

2013

Commodity Themed Issue. Quantitative Finance 13.04 (2013) 170pp. (Editor).

2014

Developing a practical yield curve model: An odyssey. In: New Developments in Macro-Finance Yield Curves, J Chadha, A Durre, M Joyce & L Sarnio, eds., Cambridge University Press (2014) 251-290 (with J Evans and E A Medova).

2015

Stabilizing implementable decisions in dynamic stochastic programming. In: Optimal Financial Decision Making Under Uncertainty, G Consigli, D Kuhn & P Brandimarte, eds. International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, New York: Springer Verlag, 2015, to appear (with E A Medova and Y S Yong).