MARKOV CHAINS

Part IB/II course, Michaelmas Term 1999

Tu Th Sa 11am, beginning 7th October

Mill Lane Lecture Rooms

Course material including timetable changes (if any), examples sheets, and solution sheets, will be posted on this page.

Problem sheets:


Course outline taken from the Faculty pages:

A Markov process is a probabilistic process for which the future (the next step) depends only on the present state; it has no memory of how the present state was reached. A typical example is a random walk (in two dimensions, the drunkard's walk).

The course starts with a discussion of Markov processes in discrete time, including periodicity and recurrence. For example, a random walk on a lattice of integers returns to the initial position with probability one in one or two dimensions, but in three or more dimensions the probability of recurrence in zero. Some Markov processes settle down to an equilibrium state and these are the next topic in the course. Then Poisson processes are studied, which provide a model for the arrival of calls at a telephone exchange or the rate of detection of radio-active particles by a geiger-counter. The course ends with continuous time Markov processes; a typical application is the theory of queuing.

The material in this course will be useful if you plan to take any of the applicable courses in Part II(B); in particular, it is essential for Applied Probability and helpful for Communication Theory.


Selection of Books

Norris, Markov chains, CUP, 1997.

Grimmett and Stirzaker, Probability and Random Processes, OUP, 1992.

Cinlar, Introduction to stochastic processes, Prentice-Hall, out of print.

Feller, An introduction to probability theory etc, vol 1, Wiley, 1968.

Hoel, Port, Stone, Introduction to stochastic processes, Houghton Mifflin, ?in print.

Karlin, Taylor, A first course in stochastic processes, Academic Press, 1975.


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