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David Spiegelhalter's Personal Home Page

Contact Details
Statistical Laboratory
Centre for Mathematical Sciences
Wilberforce Road
Cambridge CB3 0WB,
Email: D.Spiegelhalter[at]
Telephone: +44 1223 337945
Fax: +44 1223 337956


Since October 2007 I have been Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk.


Understanding Uncertainty and Risk

I work with a small team comprising Mike Pearson (web and animation), and Owen Smith (web). Our work focuses on the appropriate use of quantitative methods in dealing with risk and uncertainty in the lives of individuals and society. We fall into the broad category of 'public understanding of science', while our work with schools can be considered as 'maths outreach'. However we try to take a view of the subject that extends beyond the application of probability and statistics, acknowledging that there are deeper uncertainties that cannot be easily put into a formal framework, and that social and psychological issues necessarily play a vital role. We are involved in a number of different areas:

The Norm Chronicles

The Norm Chronicles (with Michael Blastland) was published by Profile Books in June 2013. It has a promotional website.

Reviews (favourable!) have appeared in The Economist , Daily Mail , The Guardian , Sunday Times (Dominic Lawson) [paywall] , Bookbag , The Times , and a digested read in the Guardian .

Articles and interviews have appeared in Daily Telegraph , The Observer , The BIg Issue , Guardian Colour section , Pacific Standard , and an article by David Ropeik in the Big Think .

There is a video from the RSA featuring both the authors, and a Guardian podcast with an extensive interview with both of us.


Here is a list of all my presentations since October 2007, including appearances at Cambridge Science Festival, Cheltenham Science Festival, British Science Festival and Hay Literary Festival.

In over 400 talks since October 2007, audiences total around 51,000 (up to June 2014), including around 20,000 school students.

Recent presentations include:

Videos of talks

Many of my talks have appeared online, although I have not watched most of them and so can't comment on their quality. A sample is given below.

Recent Publications

Here is a list of publications since 2007: an earlier list is available here in a 2012 CV.









Immodest stuff

External work

I have acted as a paid statistical consultant to a variety of organisations, including the Healthcare Commission, World Anti-Doping Agency, Novartis, and GlaxoSmithKline.

Really Personal Page

This includes my stained glass work.

Last updated 04.02.15
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